By Stan Clarke, March 22, 2026
Dear Friends and Clients,
We are sending this short note out because we imagine that most of you have been reading or listening to the media and you may have some concerns about the escalating geopolitical tensions in the world. You may have also noticed that most of the capital markets have been experiencing increased volatility, and during this last week or so, the movements have become primarily down (aside from crude oil!). After years of mostly solid longer-term uptrends, this might be the start of a reversal to more of a bear market.
Here is a summary of the portfolio actions we have taken recently in order to provide better stability to your capital. The following refers specifically to the Canadian Mirador Income and Stability Fund (MISF), but the list generally applies to all of the various programs within our High Income with Stability approach. The numbers are somewhat different for the U.S. program due to the large and highly taxable gains that many positions have:
Here are some portfolio statistics as of Friday March 20, 2026 that we hope bring you some comfort:
| MISF | Cdn Bond ETF XBB |
Cdn Stock ETF XIU |
U.S. Stock ETF SPY |
MISF Benchmark |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD % Results | 5.16 | -1.21 | -1.67 | -4.89 | -2.44 |
| Drawdown | -.65 | -18.20 | -7.00 | -6.56 | -5.47 |
| Volatility (S.D.) | 1.45 | .94 | 2.22 | 2.68 | 1.56 |
As you can see, our numbers are fabulous. If the downtrend continues, our numbers will remain good, and maybe even better. But if the geopolitical tensions ease and this turns out to be a short-term correction, and not a reversal to a bear market, we will give-up some of our out-performance for a while, and then we will return to the more typical allocations with the more typical results.
In the meantime, the enhanced stability versus the benchmark will allow us all to sleep better at night.
As always, Mirador keeps steadfast with our approach based on quantitative and technical analysis, not stories, media innuendoes, and predictions. The following is a summary of the most relevant quantitative observations:
For the first time in a very long time, the yield curve is fully positive. The implications of this are:
Other capital markets data-related observations are:
Although this doesn’t look like the years prior to the massive crashes of 2000 or 2008, there are plenty of reasons to be very cautious right now, so that is what we are doing at Mirador.
Please phone us at the numbers below if you have any questions and concerns.
Sincerely,
Stan 403-608-4664
Joyce 403-978-6798